Booster value estimates
CHR · 1995
Chronicles
15-card booster (11 commons · 3 uncommons · 1 rare) · 15 cards · estimated average value $10.38
| Pack | Pack price | Typical (median) | Average | Average − price | Average / price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chronicles · Booster | $22.11 ↗ | $4.89 | $10.38 | −$11.73 | 47% |
Typical value (median)$4.89
Average value$10.38
Middle 80% of simulated packs$3.26 – $20.69
Estimated chance of contents worth at least$2.00 100%$5.00 48%$10.00 31%$20.00 12%$50.00 <1%
Half of simulated packs are worth less than the median. These are gross singles values, before fees and shipping. The model omits some bonus cards and uses approximate slot odds.
Pack contents, odds, and calculation details
Where the value sits
| Slot | Odds | × | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | common | 11 | $7.03 |
| Uncommon | uncommon | 3 | $0.91 |
| Rare | rare / mythic | 1 | $2.44 |
- Printed before foils existed; no foil slot.
- Pool: 116 booster printings; 116 priced on TCGplayer, 0 without a quote (counted as zero). common 37/37 · uncommon 34/34 · rare 45/45
- Estimated average value under this model: $10.38. The distribution comes from 20000 simulated packs. Their mean is $10.37 ± $0.07.
Cards in the Pack
Every card a pack can hold, with the share of the pack value it carries. Chance is the expected number of copies in one pack, added up over every slot that can hold the card. EV is price times chance; the column adds up to the pack value.
| # | Card | R | Price | Chance per pack | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ashnod's Altar | C | $14.72 | 29.7% | $4.38 |
| 2 |  Concordant Crossroads | R | $36.34 | 2.22% | $0.81 |
| 3 |  City of Brass | R | $30.05 | 2.22% | $0.67 |
| 4 |  Dandân | C | $1.33 | 29.7% | $0.40 |
| 5 |  Tormod's Crypt | C | $0.97 | 29.7% | $0.29 |
| 6 |  Blood Moon | R | $8.53 | 2.22% | $0.19 |
| 7 |  Feldon's Cane | C | $0.45 | 29.7% | $0.13 |
| 8 |  Nicol Bolas | R | $5.73 | 2.22% | $0.13 |
| 9 |  Urza's Power Plant | U | $1.09 | 8.82% | $0.10 |
| 10 |  Metamorphosis | C | $0.32 | 29.7% | $0.10 |
| 11 |  Urza's Tower | U | $0.95 | 8.82% | $0.08 |
| 12 |  Ashnod's Transmogrant | C | $0.28 | 29.7% | $0.08 |
| 13 |  Boomerang | C | $0.28 | 29.7% | $0.08 |
| 14 |  Cuombajj Witches | C | $0.28 | 29.7% | $0.08 |
| 15 |  Chromium | R | $3.28 | 2.22% | $0.07 |
| 16 |  Indestructible Aura | C | $0.24 | 29.7% | $0.07 |
| 17 |  Fishliver Oil | C | $0.23 | 29.7% | $0.07 |
| 18 |  Goblins of the Flarg | C | $0.23 | 29.7% | $0.07 |
| 19 |  Living Armor | C | $0.23 | 29.7% | $0.07 |
| 20 |  Arena of the Ancients | R | $3.02 | 2.22% | $0.07 |
| 21 |  Hell's Caretaker | R | $2.96 | 2.22% | $0.07 |
| 22 |  Divine Offering | C | $0.22 | 29.7% | $0.07 |
| 23 |  Urza's Mine | U | $0.72 | 8.82% | $0.06 |
| 24 |  Flash Flood | C | $0.21 | 29.7% | $0.06 |
| 25 |  Fountain of Youth | C | $0.21 | 29.7% | $0.06 |
| 26 |  Goblin Shrine | C | $0.21 | 29.7% | $0.06 |
| 27 |  War Elephant | C | $0.21 | 29.7% | $0.06 |
| 28 |  Emerald Dragonfly | C | $0.19 | 29.7% | $0.06 |
| 29 |  Wall of Heat | C | $0.19 | 29.7% | $0.06 |
| 30 |  Active Volcano | C | $0.18 | 29.7% | $0.05 |
| 31 |  D'Avenant Archer | C | $0.18 | 29.7% | $0.05 |
| 32 |  Goblin Digging Team | C | $0.18 | 29.7% | $0.05 |
| 33 |  Runesword | C | $0.18 | 29.7% | $0.05 |
| 34 |  Argothian Pixies | C | $0.17 | 29.7% | $0.05 |
| 35 |  Aladdin | U | $0.57 | 8.82% | $0.05 |
| 36 |  Ghazbán Ogre | C | $0.16 | 29.7% | $0.05 |
| 37 |  Hasran Ogress | C | $0.16 | 29.7% | $0.05 |
| 38 |  Mountain Yeti | C | $0.16 | 29.7% | $0.05 |
| 39 |  Transmutation | C | $0.16 | 29.7% | $0.05 |
| 40 |  Dakkon Blackblade | R | $2.09 | 2.22% | $0.05 |
| 41 |  Cat Warriors | C | $0.14 | 29.7% | $0.04 |
| 42 |  Keepers of the Faith | C | $0.14 | 29.7% | $0.04 |
| 43 |  Recall | U | $0.46 | 8.82% | $0.04 |
| 44 |  Bog Rats | C | $0.13 | 29.7% | $0.04 |
| 45 |  Wall of Vapor | C | $0.13 | 29.7% | $0.04 |
| 46 |  Remove Soul | C | $0.12 | 29.7% | $0.04 |
| 47 |  Repentant Blacksmith | C | $0.12 | 29.7% | $0.04 |
| 48 |  Wall of Shadows | C | $0.12 | 29.7% | $0.04 |
| 49 |  Giant Slug | C | $0.11 | 29.7% | $0.03 |
| 50 |  Scavenger Folk | C | $0.11 | 29.7% | $0.03 |
| 51 |  Erhnam Djinn | U | $0.36 | 8.82% | $0.03 |
| 52 |  Tor Wauki | U | $0.35 | 8.82% | $0.03 |
| 53 |  Storm Seeker | U | $0.33 | 8.82% | $0.03 |
| 54 |  Fallen Angel | U | $0.27 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 55 |  Land's Edge | R | $1.05 | 2.22% | $0.02 |
| 56 |  Shield Wall | U | $0.26 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 57 |  Rabid Wombat | U | $0.25 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 58 |  Blood of the Martyr | U | $0.24 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 59 |  Craw Giant | U | $0.24 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 60 |  Enchantment Alteration | U | $0.24 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 61 |  Wall of Wonder | U | $0.24 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 62 |  Abu Ja'far | U | $0.23 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 63 |  Beasts of Bogardan | U | $0.23 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 64 |  Takklemaggot | U | $0.23 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 65 |  Revelation | R | $0.89 | 2.22% | $0.02 |
| 66 |  Marhault Elsdragon | U | $0.22 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 67 |  Witch Hunter | U | $0.22 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 68 |  Azure Drake | U | $0.21 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 69 |  Puppet Master | U | $0.21 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 70 |  Wall of Opposition | U | $0.21 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 71 |  Fire Drake | U | $0.20 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 72 |  Kei Takahashi | U | $0.20 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 73 |  Ivory Guardians | U | $0.19 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 74 |  The Fallen | U | $0.19 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 75 |  Dance of Many | R | $0.74 | 2.22% | $0.02 |
| 76 |  Palladia-Mors | R | $0.72 | 2.22% | $0.02 |
| 77 |  Banshee | U | $0.18 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 78 |  Cocoon | U | $0.18 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 79 |  Goblin Artisans | U | $0.18 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 80 |  Primordial Ooze | U | $0.18 | 8.82% | $0.02 |
| 81 |  Safe Haven | R | $0.69 | 2.22% | $0.02 |
| 82 |  Sivitri Scarzam | U | $0.17 | 8.82% | $0.01 |
| 83 |  Vaevictis Asmadi | R | $0.66 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 84 |  Tobias Andrion | U | $0.16 | 8.82% | $0.01 |
| 85 |  Shimian Night Stalker | U | $0.15 | 8.82% | $0.01 |
| 86 |  Jeweled Bird | R | $0.58 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 87 |  Sol'kanar the Swamp King | R | $0.55 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 88 |  Arcades Sabboth | R | $0.54 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 89 |  Xira Arien | R | $0.54 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 90 |  The Wretched | R | $0.53 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 91 |  Gabriel Angelfire | R | $0.52 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 92 |  Serpent Generator | R | $0.52 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 93 |  Book of Rass | R | $0.46 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 94 |  Nebuchadnezzar | R | $0.44 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 95 |  Rubinia Soulsinger | R | $0.44 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 96 |  Stangg | R | $0.44 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 97 |  Johan | R | $0.42 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 98 |  Juxtapose | R | $0.42 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 99 |  Triassic Egg | R | $0.42 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 100 |  Angelic Voices | R | $0.41 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 101 |  Yawgmoth Demon | R | $0.41 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 102 |  Horn of Deafening | R | $0.40 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 103 |  Jalum Tome | R | $0.40 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 104 |  Sentinel | R | $0.40 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 105 |  Voodoo Doll | R | $0.40 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 106 |  Akron Legionnaire | R | $0.39 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 107 |  Axelrod Gunnarson | R | $0.39 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 108 |  Cyclone | R | $0.39 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 109 |  Gauntlets of Chaos | R | $0.37 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 110 |  Obelisk of Undoing | R | $0.36 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 111 |  Barl's Cage | R | $0.35 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 112 |  Petra Sphinx | R | $0.35 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 113 |  Teleport | R | $0.35 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 114 |  Bronze Horse | R | $0.34 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 115 |  Rakalite | R | $0.34 | 2.22% | $0.01 |
| 116 |  Ayesha Tanaka | R | $0.33 | 2.22% | $0.01 |