Fallen Empires

15-card booster (11 commons · 3 uncommons · 1 rare) · 15 cards · estimated average value $5.93

Pack prices compared with estimated typical and average contents value
Pack	Pack price	Typical (median)	Average	Average − price	Average / price
Fallen Empires · Booster	$12.34 ↗	$5.45	$5.93	−$6.41	48%

Typical value (median)$5.45

Average value$5.93

Middle 80% of simulated packs$3.78 – $8.85

Estimated chance of contents worth at least$2.00 100%$5.00 60%$10.00 5%$20.00 0%$50.00 0%

Half of simulated packs are worth less than the median. These are gross singles values, before fees and shipping. The model omits some bonus cards and uses approximate slot odds.

Pack contents, odds, and calculation details

Where the value sits

Slot	Odds	×	EV
Common	common	11	$2.92
Uncommon	uncommon	3	$1.60
Rare	rare / mythic	1	$1.41

Printed before foils existed; no foil slot.
Pool: 102 booster printings; 102 priced on TCGplayer, 0 without a quote (counted as zero). common 36/36 · uncommon 30/30 · rare 36/36
Estimated average value under this model: $5.93. The distribution comes from 20000 simulated packs. Their mean is $5.94 ± $0.01.

Cards in the Pack

Every card a pack can hold, with the share of the pack value it carries. Chance is the expected number of copies in one pack, added up over every slot that can hold the card. EV is price times chance; the column adds up to the pack value.

Cards in one booster pack of Fallen Empires, with price, chance per pack, and share of the pack value
#	Card	R	Price	Chance per pack	EV
1	Goblin Chirurgeon	C	$1.22	30.6%	$0.37
2	High Tide	C	$1.06	30.6%	$0.32
3	Dwarven Ruins	U	$3.05	10.0%	$0.31
4	Svyelunite Temple	U	$2.75	10.0%	$0.28
5	Havenwood Battleground	U	$1.99	10.0%	$0.20
6	Rainbow Vale	R	$5.89	2.78%	$0.16
7	Hymn to Tourach	C	$0.53	30.6%	$0.16
8	Goblin Grenade	C	$0.50	30.6%	$0.15
9	Hand of Justice	R	$5.47	2.78%	$0.15
10	Dwarven Armorer	R	$4.18	2.78%	$0.12
11	Ebon Stronghold	U	$1.07	10.0%	$0.11
12	Delif's Cone	C	$0.35	30.6%	$0.11
13	Conch Horn	R	$3.76	2.78%	$0.10
14	Soul Exchange	U	$1.00	10.0%	$0.10
15	Basal Thrull	C	$0.31	30.6%	$0.09
16	Icatian Moneychanger	C	$0.31	30.6%	$0.09
17	Order of the Ebon Hand	C	$0.31	30.6%	$0.09
18	Elvish Farmer	R	$2.66	2.78%	$0.07
19	Goblin War Drums	C	$0.24	30.6%	$0.07
20	Order of Leitbur	C	$0.24	30.6%	$0.07
21	Vodalian Mage	C	$0.23	30.6%	$0.07
22	Goblin Warrens	R	$2.41	2.78%	$0.07
23	Spore Cloud	C	$0.21	30.6%	$0.06
24	Thallid	C	$0.21	30.6%	$0.06
25	Vodalian Soldiers	C	$0.20	30.6%	$0.06
26	Armor Thrull	C	$0.19	30.6%	$0.06
27	Elvish Hunter	C	$0.19	30.6%	$0.06
28	Icatian Javelineers	C	$0.19	30.6%	$0.06
29	Night Soil	C	$0.19	30.6%	$0.06
30	Thorn Thallid	C	$0.19	30.6%	$0.06
31	Aeolipile	R	$2.06	2.78%	$0.06
32	Dwarven Soldier	C	$0.18	30.6%	$0.06
33	Farrel's Zealot	C	$0.18	30.6%	$0.06
34	Icatian Scout	C	$0.18	30.6%	$0.06
35	Orcish Spy	C	$0.18	30.6%	$0.06
36	Mindstab Thrull	C	$0.17	30.6%	$0.05
37	Ruins of Trokair	U	$0.50	10.0%	$0.05
38	Brassclaw Orcs	C	$0.16	30.6%	$0.05
39	Elvish Scout	C	$0.16	30.6%	$0.05
40	Homarid Warrior	C	$0.16	30.6%	$0.05
41	Icatian Infantry	C	$0.16	30.6%	$0.05
42	Necrite	C	$0.16	30.6%	$0.05
43	Elven Fortress	C	$0.15	30.6%	$0.05
44	Initiates of the Ebon Hand	C	$0.15	30.6%	$0.05
45	Merseine	C	$0.15	30.6%	$0.05
46	Combat Medic	C	$0.14	30.6%	$0.04
47	Homarid	C	$0.14	30.6%	$0.04
48	Orcish Veteran	C	$0.14	30.6%	$0.04
49	Tidal Flats	C	$0.14	30.6%	$0.04
50	Breeding Pit	U	$0.40	10.0%	$0.04
51	Thrull Champion	R	$1.41	2.78%	$0.04
52	Fungal Bloom	R	$1.37	2.78%	$0.04
53	Bottomless Vault	R	$1.36	2.78%	$0.04
54	Spore Flower	U	$0.36	10.0%	$0.04
55	Dwarven Hold	R	$1.29	2.78%	$0.04
56	Thallid Devourer	U	$0.34	10.0%	$0.03
57	Ebon Praetor	R	$1.16	2.78%	$0.03
58	Hollow Trees	R	$1.10	2.78%	$0.03
59	River Merfolk	R	$1.10	2.78%	$0.03
60	Sand Silos	R	$1.10	2.78%	$0.03
61	Dwarven Lieutenant	U	$0.29	10.0%	$0.03
62	Vodalian Knights	R	$0.98	2.78%	$0.03
63	Deep Spawn	U	$0.27	10.0%	$0.03
64	Orcish Captain	U	$0.27	10.0%	$0.03
65	Seasinger	U	$0.27	10.0%	$0.03
66	Thrull Retainer	U	$0.27	10.0%	$0.03
67	Draconian Cylix	R	$0.95	2.78%	$0.03
68	Ring of Renewal	R	$0.94	2.78%	$0.03
69	Goblin Kites	U	$0.26	10.0%	$0.03
70	Homarid Spawning Bed	U	$0.26	10.0%	$0.03
71	Icatian Lieutenant	R	$0.84	2.78%	$0.02
72	Icatian Skirmishers	R	$0.84	2.78%	$0.02
73	Feral Thallid	U	$0.23	10.0%	$0.02
74	Thelonite Druid	U	$0.23	10.0%	$0.02
75	Icatian Store	R	$0.81	2.78%	$0.02
76	Elven Lyre	R	$0.76	2.78%	$0.02
77	Tourach's Chant	U	$0.21	10.0%	$0.02
78	Homarid Shaman	R	$0.75	2.78%	$0.02
79	Zelyon Sword	R	$0.75	2.78%	$0.02
80	Dwarven Catapult	U	$0.20	10.0%	$0.02
81	Farrel's Mantle	U	$0.20	10.0%	$0.02
82	Svyelunite Priest	U	$0.20	10.0%	$0.02
83	Goblin Flotilla	R	$0.71	2.78%	$0.02
84	Implements of Sacrifice	R	$0.71	2.78%	$0.02
85	Farrelite Priest	U	$0.19	10.0%	$0.02
86	Tidal Influence	U	$0.19	10.0%	$0.02
87	Thelon's Curse	R	$0.63	2.78%	$0.02
88	Icatian Phalanx	U	$0.17	10.0%	$0.02
89	Thelon's Chant	U	$0.17	10.0%	$0.02
90	Thrull Wizard	U	$0.17	10.0%	$0.02
91	Tourach's Gate	R	$0.59	2.78%	$0.02
92	Icatian Priest	U	$0.16	10.0%	$0.02
93	Raiding Party	U	$0.16	10.0%	$0.02
94	Delif's Cube	R	$0.57	2.78%	$0.02
95	Vodalian War Machine	R	$0.57	2.78%	$0.02
96	Balm of Restoration	R	$0.53	2.78%	$0.01
97	Derelor	R	$0.53	2.78%	$0.01
98	Spirit Shield	R	$0.53	2.78%	$0.01
99	Thelonite Monk	R	$0.53	2.78%	$0.01
100	Heroism	U	$0.13	10.0%	$0.01
101	Icatian Town	R	$0.44	2.78%	$0.01
102	Orgg	R	$0.40	2.78%	$0.01